The 3 million McCain voter who didn't vote for Romney didn't stay and they didn't vote third party. They died. To survive, the GOP needs to stop being afraid of Millennials and tell them truth: they can move out of mom and dad’s house, they can drop out of school, they can quit their dead-end job with the idiot supervisor. But they can’t get away from government and debt.Read More
In an open Republican primary in Missouri’s 8th Congressional District, a solid conservative would beat an establishment "my turn" Republican, hands down. And the Missouri GOP would hate it.
That’s why I smell a rat.
Would you be surprised to learn that Jo Ann Emerson and Lloyd Smith had this switcheroo planned months ago? You have to admit that the timing is suspicious:
- Emerson wins a certain re-election
- Smith announces he's stepping down as Missouri GOP Executive Director
- Emerson announces she's resigning to become Queen of Lobbyists
- Missouri's GOP Establishment breaks hips to tell reporters "Lloyd Smith's our man!"
This is exactly how the Republican establishment does things. They think the people of MO-8 are too stupid to pick the right candidate in a primary, so they make backroom deals to appoint a deal-maker for them.
If that’s what’s going on here, It’s disgraceful. Missouri’s 8th deserves better, but I've heard from sources that Emerson waited to announce her resignation until Smith was confident he had the votes among 8th District Republican committeemen and committeewomen to cost into the job.
You think Lloyd Smith tats will be the rage at SEMO next semester?
I’m sure Mr. Smith is a good guy. I have nothing against him as a person, and I'm sure he's done some good for conservatives in his career.
I’m also pretty sure it’s his turn. Just like it was Mitt Romney’s turn. And John McCain’s. And Bob Dole’s. And Gerald Ford’s.
America doesn’t need the next guy in line, and the GOP can’t afford another me-too, milquetoast faceless name in Congress.
At a time when the GOP desperately needs to energize some young people and excite its conservative base, I find it unfathomable that anyone would even mention Lloyd Smith.
Energy? Leadership? Charisma? Action? Accomplishment?
As Missouri GOP’s executive director, Smith failed to flip a single statewide office in 2012 even with Romney winning 54% of the vote.
Moreover, Smith was frozen by the Akin fiasco, doing nothing to contain the damage. He couldn’t keep Republicans from bashing Akin, and he couldn’t get Akin to gracefully exit.
You Can’t Squeeze A Union Card Between Lloyd Smith and Jo Ann Emerson
Smith was Jo Ann Emerson’s chief of staff. That’s about the most damning thing one can say about a Republican operative.
Jo Ann Emerson’s specialty has been handing out your tax dollars to businesses and unions who hand them back to her. How fitting that she resigns from Congress weeks after being re-elected to become a lobbyist for one of the beneficiaries of Emerson’s crony capitalism gravy train.
John Fund at National Review writes:
In her congressional career, she often shied away from stringent budget-cutting measures and privately deplored bans on earmarks. In 2011, the National Journal found that she was only the 200th most conservative member of the House.
And remember, Lloyd Smith was her chief of staff. Here’s a few more highlights of Emerson’s miserable Washington career:
- Emerson refused the sign a letter asking John Boehner to defund Obamacare.
- Emerson donated to the hard left Democrat Debbie Wasserman Schultz as recently as 2010.
- Emerson’s Heritage Action Score is a miserable 47%. She’s the lowest-rated Republican in Missouri on that scale.
So why has the liberal Emerson kept her job in a very conservative Congressional District?
And, if there was backroom deal to replace Emerson with Smith or some other party boy, it’s because there’s no way Smith would win an open primary.
But once he’s in, he’s in for life.
I hope grassroots conservatives in MO-8 put a lot of pressure on the 80 Republican Committeemen and Committeewomen. The GOP will throw a lot of favors, offers, and promises their way to get the appointment they want.
This will be a test of whether or not the Tea Party has any clout at all in Missouri.
I wrote yesterday that if you need someone to blame, blame me. Don’t blame bogeymen.
Yes, vote fraud is real. Voter rolls in most states need to be cleaned up. Voter intimidation should be harshly prosecuted.
Please knock it off.
Try Critical Thinking Instead of Knee-Jerk Emotions
I read a piece American Thinker that made me want to jump out a window. Selwyn Duke tries making the case that Romney lost because of voter fraud.
His case is weak.
I won’t bother with his points about anecdotal evidence, since they’re anecdotal. They can’t be proven one way or the other.
Instead, I looked at the numbers.
Romney Got No Votes In Some Philadelphia Divisions
True, this is odd. It may will be that Romney votes were thrown out. But there are two problems with blaming Pennsylvania’s outcome on this anomaly.
1. We’re talking about a predominantly or exclusively Democrat area. Had Obama received less than 98 percent of the vote, something would have been wrong. So we’re talking about, at most, a 2 percent problem in a small area.
2. The total vote in these Philly division was less than 20,000 votes. Suppose that 2 percent intended to vote for Romney. That’s 400 votes. It doesn’t change the results. It doesn’t even come close.
Military Overseas Ballot Requests Way Down
Duke also cites a drop in requests for absentee ballots by armed forces serving over seas. He points a report that in Virginia and Ohio, requests for military absentee ballots were down by 70 percent:
Frankly, it is inconceivable that military interest in voting could've dropped so drastically given conservatives' passion this election season.
There are several problems with Duke’s argument.
- Over 83,000 troops came home. Thirty percent fewer troops are serving overseasin 2012 compared to 2008. And a LOT of them are stationed in Virginia.
- The drop in requests was for the entire election cycle, not just the November 8 election. Obama was unopposed in the primaries.
- The drop is in requests. The DoD can’t make people request an absentee ballot. (I was the Voting Rights Officer on USS Woodrow Wilson—it’s not always easy to get people to vote.)
I agree that the DoD did a poor job getting ballots to troops. But the problems were with ballots that had already been requested. Let’s wait to see how many military ballots were cast before we lose our heads.
Secession and Disrupting the Electoral College Doesn’t Help Conservatism
If you believe the election was stolen, I get why you want to take extreme measures. But your extreme measures don’t win any hearts and minds. They make us look nuts.
Read Erick Erickson’s blog about rolling up the welcome mat at RedState. Clearly, I’m not the only one noticing the crazy talk around here.
Our mission is to win-over people who want what we want:
- A strong economy
- A smaller, fiscally responsible government
- A safer world
- A sustainable immigration policy
These are things that almost everyone in America can agree on—everyone except the far left nuts.
Reagan attracted big numbers with 3 of those 4 pillars. Immigration wasn’t as big a deal then, because our population still had some organic growth going on.
Companies and nations fall when they refuse to face the realities of their situations. The conservative movement is supposed to be the embodiment of hard, cold looks at the national condition. Let’s keep it that way, okay?
The GOP didn’t really have a plan in place in case it lost. It certainly didn’t have a plan for getting snotclobbered. And if you try to spin Tuesday’s results as anything less than a good old-fashioned ass-kicking, you’re deluding yourself.
Republicans Got Creamed
I know Michelle Malkin found 20 things that went right on election night, but there about 60 million things that went wrong. Let’s take a look:
- Obama was re-elected handily in a terrible economy with American prestige at its lowest level since Carter’s administration
- Republicans lost ground in the Senate despite a huge number of open seats and unpopular Democrats (McCaskill)
- Stupid comments by Senate candidates set back the pro-life movement 20 years
- In Missouri, Republicans lost every statewide race except Lieutenant Governor
- Liberal ballot initiatives dominated
- Conservative turnout was low except for Evangelicals
- Conservative mega-donors broke the bank on this election and came up less than empty
Boehner Told House Republicans There Will Be No Fiscal Cliff Fight
Considering all this, it comes as no surprise that John Boehner told House Republicans that there will be no death match over the Fiscal Cliff.
Their party lost, badly, Mr. Boehner said, and while Republicans would still control the House and would continue to staunchly oppose tax rate increases as Congress grapples with the impending fiscal battle, they had to avoid the nasty showdowns that marked so much of the last two years. (source: NYTimes)
That’s a bitter pill for Tea Partiers and conservatives, but it’s probably unavoidable.
Mitt Romney and many other Republican candidates for federal offices campaigned without any big ideas for people to champion. They made the election about policy differences, and the status quo won.
You can say that bitter fights over debt and budgets are part of that status quo. You’d be missing the point, which is this:
The only card in Boehner’s hand is shutting down the government. Voters—even some who voted for Romney—would see that as a repudiation of the election and the people, not of Obama. Boehner would look like the Black Knight in Monty Python And The Holy Grail.
There’s a chance, of course, that Obama would cave and hand the Republicans a victory. But there’ a good chance the subsequent unemployment, the stock plunge, the recession, and the starvation horror stories would land squarely on Republican shoulders. (Do you think media would see an Obama capitulation as anything but statesmanlike sacrifice to help the most vulnerable?)
Republicans simply won’t take the chance that 2014 will be a referendum on government shutdowns by a party that just got its ass handed to it on Nate Silver platter.
Game Theory and History Help Explain
Here's a SlideShare I've put together to explain the Republican position. I looked back at Reagan's 1981 budget battle with Congressional Democrats.
Pay attention to how that battle turned out. (Best viewed full screen) [slideshare id=15147728&w=427&h=356]
Yes, I’m feeling a wave toward Romney.
My gut tells me this year is a lot like 1980.
1980 Was A Dead Heat
The press was hoping John B. Anderson, a former Republican Congressman running for president as an independent, would siphon votes from Reagan. He did siphon votes from Reagan, but not nearly enough. America was fed up with Jimmy Carter.
What appears to be a dead heat to pollsters could, in fact, be a landslide for Romney. And I think that’s the only way Romney wins.
Romney Must Win Big To Win
In a close race, Democrats will cheat, steal, and defraud. They will fight it in the courts, discover ballots in trunks, and sue to let people vote until they get the numbers they need.
For Romney to win, the race must appear hopeless to Democrats before midnight Tuesday.
That’s exactly what I think will happen.
What do you think?
- MITTMENTUM: Romney Ahead 60-40 on the Amazon Electoral Heat Map. Hey, let's hope Tuesday night's m... (pjmedia.com)
- Electoral College Map Prediction (johnwsmart.net)
- Please God: Pundit Predicts 1980 Reagan-like Blow Out for Romney (givemeliberty01.com)
- Barone: Romney wins, handily (politico.com)
That's the number of small businesses lost during the Obama Administration.
If re-elected, Obama promises to accelerate the policies that destroyed American jobs, investments, and companies.
Voting isn't enough. We need your help at 9966 Lin Ferry Drive, St. Louis, MO 63123.
Pick you day to work the phones and get out the vote:
- Friday, November 2 Noon to 8 p.m.
- Saturday, November 3 Noon to 5 p.m.
- Monday, November 5 10 a.m. to 8 p.m.
- Too late
- Opinion: Obamacare Is Bad For Small Business (21stcenturyscreenshots.wordpress.com)
- What a novel idea: A President who understands business! (hollyonthehill.com)
I’m not talking about his politics and policies; I’m talking Romney’s remarkable presence. Here are the four principles of presence that Romney knocked out of the park.
Command of the Facts
When it came to facts—and to how those facts matter to the listeners—Mitt Romney seemed more prepared for the office of President than the President. Every attack by the President was countered, not with excuses or logic, but with numbers, facts, and verifiable statements.
The words that popped into viewers minds regarding Romney: confidence, authority, intelligence, competence, and readiness.
From the moment he stepped onto the stage, Mitt Romney’s body and face reflected a friendly, but determined, man. His eyes danced. He smiled when appropriate, and never scowled. He stood still and straight—“in neutral,” as personal coach Frances Cole Jones describes the position: feet planted, hands at sides, ready to move but disciplined to hold steady.
Romney’s demeanor led people to think: approachable, safe, unguarded, honest, open, and strong.
When Barack Obama attacked Romney, the President looked down or at Jim Lehrer. When Romney called out Obama, he looked his rival in the eye. While Obama’s eye-aversion looked weasel-like and weak, Romney’s forthrightness looked brave.
The word that Romney’s eye contact conjured: mensch.
After 90 minutes, the President looked beaten, exhausted, distracted, and uncomfortable. He stood on one leg, often rocking back and forth like fidgety boy in Sunday School. But Romney’s strength, energy, and determination never waned. Romney never soared, but he never descended.
The word viewers thought about Romney’s consistency: stamina.
In every respect, Mitt Romney came across as more presidential than the President himself. He was more in command of facts, he was more likable, he had the wherewithal to look his rival in the eye and maintain all of these qualities consistency.
Mitt Romney’s impression on voters: Mr. President.
- Romney Politely Cleaned Obama's Clock (realclearmarkets.com)
What triggered the maniacal insanity from MSNBC and The New York Times (among others) was Mitt Romney's public dismay over the way Barack Obama's State Department responded to terror attacks on US embassies in Egypt and Libya.
The whole episode drove me to look back to William F. Buckley's credenda for National Review. Published in its first issue, November 19, 1955, Buckley summarized the magazine's position. I can find no way to improve Buckley's words, so I ask you to take this list to heart:
Among our convictions:
- It is the job of centralized government (in peacetime) to protect its citizens’ lives, liberty and property. All other activities of government tend to diminish freedom and hamper progress. The growth of government(the dominant social feature of this century) must be fought relentlessly. In this great social conflict of the era, we are, without reservations, on the libertarian side.
- The profound crisis of our era is, in essence, the conflict between the Social Engineers, who seek to adjust mankind to conform with scientific utopias, and the disciples of Truth, who defend the organic moral order. We believe that truth is neither arrived at nor illuminated by monitoring election results, binding though these are for other purposes, but by other means, including a study of human experience. On this point we are, without reservations, on the conservative side.
- The century’s most blatant force of satanic utopianism is communism. We consider “coexistence” with communism neither desirable nor possible, nor honorable; we find ourselves irrevocably at war with communism and shall oppose any substitute for victory.
- The largest cultural menace in America is the conformity of the intellectual cliques which, in education as well as the arts, are out to impose upon the nation their modish fads and fallacies, and have nearly succeeded in doing so. In this cultural issue, we are, without reservations, on the side of excellence (rather than “newness”) and of honest intellectual combat (rather than conformity).
- The most alarming single danger to the American political system lies in the fact that an identifiable team of Fabian operators is bent on controlling both our major political parties(under the sanction of such fatuous and unreasoned slogans as “national unity,” “middle-of-the-road,” “progressivism,” and “bipartisanship.”) Clever intriguers are reshaping both parties in the image of Babbitt, gone Social-Democrat. When and where this political issue arises, we are, without reservations, on the side of the traditional two-party system that fights its feuds in public and honestly; and we shall advocate the restoration of the two-party system at all costs.
- The competitive price system is indispensable to liberty and material progress. It is threatened not only by the growth of Big Brother government, but by the pressure of monopolies(including union monopolies. What is more, some labor unions have clearly identified themselves with doctrinaire socialist objectives. The characteristic problems of harassed business have gone unreported for years, with the result that the public has been taught to assume(almost instinctively) that conflicts between labor and management are generally traceable to greed and intransigence on the part of management. Sometimes they are; often they are not. NATIONAL REVIEW will explore and oppose the inroads upon the market economy caused by monopolies in general, and politically oriented unionism in particular; and it will tell the violated businessman’s side of the story.
- No superstition has more effectively bewitched America’s Liberal elite than the fashionable concepts of world government, the United Nations, internationalism, international atomic pools, etc. Perhaps the most important and readily demonstrable lesson of history is that freedom goes hand in hand with a state of political decentralization, that remote government is irresponsible government. It would make greater sense to grant independence to each of our 50 states than to surrender U.S. sovereignty to a world organization.
Ideas to rule one's self and one's government by.
The Romney Campaign today reminded me of the McCain Campaign of 2008. I'm pretty good at ignoring bogus, fraudulent polls like the one CNN released tonight. In that poll, CNN announced a massive 52-46 national lead for Obama. If true, the race would be all but over.
CNN, of course, cooked the books on this one.
About one-third of voters describe themselves as independents, CNN sampled only 3% independents for its latest poll. Out of nearly 1,000 voters, only 37 described themselves as independents.
But that fraudulent poll could prove true if Team Romney doesn't get its head in the game.
In an internal memo, the Romney people indicated that people will wise up at the last minute before the election and put Mitt into office.
The reality of the Obama economy will reassert itself as ultimate downfall of the Obama presidency, and Mitt Romney will win this race.
McCain believed, in September 2008, that Obama's lack of experience would "reassert" itself. McCain was wrong.
A Last-Minute Strategy Won't Help If You're Behind
Here's why Romney's last-minute strategy will fail if he tries it: uninformed voters always break with the majority.
This conclusion comes from scientific studies of fish, but the studies apply to human behavior as well. Further, the studies show why small, vocal groups can exert heavy influence among informed voters, but can do little among the less informed voters---such as show up during Presidential elections.
“A strongly opinionated minority can dictate group choice,” the research team wrote in its report, published in Thursday’s edition of the journal Science. “But the presence of uninformed individuals spontaneously inhibits this process, returning control to the numerical majority.” (source: chronical.com)
What that means is that the least informed, undecided voters will break for the candidate CNN tells them is going to win. That's how CNN's lies can influence the outcome of elections.
If Romney really wants to win the White House, he better establish a solid lead nationally and in Florida, North Carolina, Virginia, Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin, Nevada, and Colorado---fast.
Here's What You Can Do
Look, we can't influence what Mitt Romney does. He's paying a lot of establishment consultants to figure out a strategy. But if the establishment blows this race, we still need to show some results.
The best thing we can do is to get out the vote of people who think like we do. I'm not talking about tea partiers; I"m talking about the majority who believe that rights come through nature from God to people, and that government's just powers come from the people alone.
Plus we can get out the vote of people who believe that government debt is bad for us and for future generations.
We can get out the vote of people who believe Obama's cure for the economy is worse than the disease.
We can get out the vote by working with candidates we like. Better yet, we can get out the vote working with St. Louis Tea Party Coalition and the Madison Project. We'll be announcing the location of our office this week, and Saturday will be our first door-knocking round. (We'll need YOU)
Start tonight by attending the Winning Tea Party Strategies meeting at The Pillar of the Valley in Chesterfield. RSVP on Facebook and bring one other person.
While you're there, RSVP for the September After Party and bring 2 friends to that.
Hurricane Isaac smiled on the Republicans in Tampa and delivered more misery to New Orleans and its surroundings. That was just one of the ominous signs that 2012 is shaping up to be a forgettable year for Democrats, especially for Barack Obama.
Here’s seven more warning signs that Obama’s 6-year campaign is about to implode:
1. Torrential Rains Wipe the Face of Mount Obamamore
Not that weather plays favorites, but you have wonder. First, there was Isaac. It missed Tampa and revealed Obama as a self-serving attention grabber. Obama who's going to New Orleans Monday only as a political necessity after Mitt Romney paid the drenched and ravaged city a visit on Friday. But the real kicker was the torrential rains that ruined a gigantic Rushmore-like sand sculpture of Dear Leader Obama.
2. Even Bill Maher Says Clint Eastwood “Killed” It at GOP Convention
In 2008, John McCain couldn’t buy a celebrity endorsement. In 2012, a Hollywood icon delivered one of the best and most bizarre performances in political convention history. Clint Eastwood demonstrated the skills of a great storyteller by talking to an empty chair that represented the empty suit in the White House. When Bill Maher and Mark Levin agree, it must be true.
3. Bill Clinton Poised to Upstage Obama (and remind all of us that things were better when Newt was Speaker of the House)
Did I call Obama an attention whore? Well, in that old profession Obama’s a cheap streetwalker compared the $10,000-an-hour “executive escort” named Bill Clinton. And there’s a lot of evidence that the two don’t like each other. That should make for quite a show as Bill Clinton brings his Little Rock carnival to North Carolina to show Obama how to turn political tricks like a master.
4. Democrat Governor Admits We’re Not Better Off Than Four Years Ago
The greatest question ever asked in a presidential debate didn’t come from the moderator; it came from Ronald Reagan. In a debate with President Jimmy Carter, Reagan asked, “Are you better off now than you were four years ago?” The answer then, as now, was “no.” Even Democrats can’t deny that Obama made it worse.
5. Democrats Campaign of Personal Attacks Tarnishes the Incumbent
Last June, the New York Times realized that Obama’s decision to take the low road in 2012 was a big gamble. That’s because of neuroscience. When I say something bad about someone, the listener thinks less of my subject, but he also thinks less of me. (I should probably worry more about this fact, huh?) By going negative hard and early, Obama is alienating voters left and right. He’s running against America’s current state—a state he produced by his work in the majority party in the Senate and as President. That helps explain why even his own campaign staff can’t tell us things are better now than when Obama took office.
6. Republican Identification Reaches Historical High
For years, Republican wins were tied to low turnout. That was because far more voters self-identified as Democrat than Republican. But Republican identification is at an all time high following a positive and effective GOP convention. For an incumbent relying on negativity, this Republican surge is a double-barrel shotgun aimed on Obama’s political future. He’s turning off young voters who should be idealistic, and catalyzing independents to choose the GOP. According to Rasmussen, 37.6% of us identify as Republican, but only 33.3% as Democrat. What’s worse for Obama (and better for America) are the trends. Democrat identification is falling as Republican ID rises. In other words, Democrats are becoming Independents and Independents are becoming Republicans.
7. Even Huffington Post Realizes Obama Failed to Reform Politics as Promised
Sam Stein at HuffPo writes about an Obama flaw we on the right recognized four years ago: Obama’s no reformer. He promised to change politics, to change America, to heal the world and lower the seas. He didn’t. By contrast, Mitt Romney’s determination to help you and your family looks far more promising.
While the Electoral Map is still concerning for Republicans, Obama seems to be steering the Democrats into the teeth of a political hurricane.
- Obama tweet mocking Eastwood was most shared GOP convention tweet (rawstory.com)
- Three reasons Clint Eastwood worked for Republicans (humanevents.com)
- Obama Sand Sculpture versus Clint Eastwood and the Imaginary President (thewesternexperience.com)
Choosing Paul Ryan as his running mate was a great Romney move. Looking ahead, Romney sees movement conservatives working hard right up to the election—even if he or his advisors continues to say stupid things. That was necessary.
SCROLL DOWN FOR TWO IMPORTANT EVENTS THIS WEEK
But it wasn’t enough to win the election and unseat America’s first anti-American president. To do that, we must find a way to win over the selfish middle. (I know, writing things like “selfish middle” doesn’t help, but I hate lying to them.)
Here’s the reality: the Electoral College, which once favored Republicans, is now the exclusive property of the DNC. That’s because “moderates,” who vote for candidates promising to give them stuff, have moved into formerly conservative states. In the map above, Obama needs only 33 electoral votes to win.
Now, take out all the toss-ups by giving the gray states to the candidate currently with the lead in polls in that state:
If the election were held today, America would be screwed.
It’s possible, perhaps likely, that Romney could win a sizable popular majority and STILL lose an Electoral landslide.
Here’s what we need to do if we don’t want to be the generation that lost America:
- Shore up Romney’s lead in the red states like Missouri
- Sweep statewide races in red states like Missouri
- Ensure a Republican Congress (both houses)
- Adopt a toss-up state to work
Here are the toss-up states (electoral votes):
- Colorado (9)
- Florida (29)
- Iowa (6)
- Nevada (6)
- New Hampshire (4)
- North Carolina (15)
- Ohio (18)
- Virginia (13)
- Wisconsin (10)
By “adopting,” here's what I mean:
- Choose only ONE state to adopt so you can focus your energy
- Lobby friends and relatives who live in the state
- Donate to state candidates in your adopted states hoping they have coattails
- Comment on newspapers and blogs that focus on your adopted state, even if not directly political
- Call radio talk shows in your adopted state, using their internet broadcast to listen in
Quite honestly, the Electoral College is stacked heavily against Romney. That means it’s stacked against America’s future, as well. A landslide for Romney in Missouri won’t help Romney in Florida or Virginia.
Yet we still need to elect Ed Martin, Todd Akin, Shane Scholler, Cole McNary, Peter Kinder and the other Missouri candidates. We need to elect a solid House delegation. And we need to prevail on statewide and regional referenda.
That’s a lot to do. And only about 90 days to do it.
TWO IMPORTANT EVENTS THIS WEEK
You can get involved beginning this Wednesday, August 4, at 4:00 p.m. in Valley Park at the Victory Bus Tour Rally. All statewide and local candidates will be at the Victory Fieldhouse. They will making a stop on the Victory Bus Tour and with this being the statewide HQ, it needs to be full! Please forward this on to everyone you can.
Victory Bus Tour Rally – ALL Statewide and Local Candidates
Wednesday August 15th – 3:45 – 5 pm Victory Fieldhouse 932A Meramec Station Rd Fenton, MO 63088
If you’d like to discuss this further, come out to Sky Music Lounge this Thursday, August 16, at 7:00 pm, for the next St. Louis Tea Party After Party. The scheduled topic is Voter Fraud, but we’ll be talking a lot of election strategy, too.
Finally, I need say this: in 2012, yelling at people, telling them they’re wrong, won’t work. Sitting the election out because your favorite candidate didn’t win would be like surrendering to the Soviets. Your children and grandchildren deserve to live as free men and women. If we lose freedom now, it won’t come back in their lifetimes. Winning this election might not keep you from the chains of slavery to government, but losing will weld the shackles shut.
- Romney's choice of Ryan sets contours for campaign (cnsnews.com)
- Rasmussen: Ryan favorability 39/25, 52/29 among ... seniors (hotair.com)
As Michael Dukakis told us, a fish rots from the head down. Obama surrounds himself with people who thrive on decay and death.
After four years, Obama has nothing to say for himself. Nothing. He can only cut and attack and lie and sneer and mock like a high school bully. He tries to hide his own inadequacies and failures by belittling others’ success.I
The greatest contrast between the Republican ticket and the Obama regime is here. Romney’s team stands for something. It has a vision it is proud to share with the American people. Romney and Ryan want America to do better, for Americans to excel, for American exceptionalism to mean empty welfare rolls and zero poverty.
When you have a vision like, you can talk about it.
But when your vision for America is a vast wasteland covered with dilapidated building and police crime scene tape—Gary, Indiana, from sea to shining sea—you have to talk about something else.
If Obama told us what he really wishes for America, we’d drive him out on a rail.
Get a Romney-Ryan sticker on your car. This isn’t about party; it’s about survival.
- Romney camp raises $1.2 million after Ryan veep announcement (thehill.com)
- 10 Ryan harsh attacks on Obama (politico.com)
- Ryan Pick Means A New Campaign For Romney (buzzfeed.com)
Here’s a screen grab from RealClearPolitics.com’s presidential tracking poll:
RCP aggregates dozens of polls to produce its RCP average. The method has been remarkably accurate, especially at the state level.
It’s time to focus on preventing the unmitigated disaster of a second Obama term.
In 112 days, Americans will vote on whether or not to continue our experiment in self-government. If the election were held today, that experiment would be aborted.
If you’d like to help continue the experiment, come to Yacovelli’s Restaurant this Thursday at 7:00 pm.
The latest Public Policy Poll shows Santorum surging—big time.
Santorum is most appealing to conservatives—from Evangelicals to Tea Partiers:
Santorum is now completely dominating with several key segments of the electorate, especially the most right leaning parts of the party. With those describing themselves as 'very conservative,' he's now winning a majority of voters at 53% to 20% for Gingrich and 15% for Romney. Santorum gets a majority with Tea Party voters as well at 51% to 24% for Gingrich and 12% for Romney. And with Evangelicals he falls just short of a majority with 45% to 21% for Gingrich and 18% for Romney.
The reason for Santorum’s lead is likeability. Sixty-four percent of Republicans view Senator Santorum favorably—far more than any other candidate.
Mitt Romney’s attack machine, though, is about to aim its distortion guns at the former Senator. Mitt won’t offer a vision, so he’s adopted a slash-and-burn strategy in hopes of driving people to despise his opponents. That strategy might win the nomination, but I fail to see how it will win the election.
The liberal press cannot issue a story about the Republican presidential race that does not refer to Mitt Romney’s need (and inability) to “relate to” conservatives. Puke.
Relate to this: if Mitt Romney’s a conservative, I’m a Hottentot.
By “relate to,” the media and Romney’s handlers actually mean “hoodwink.” While Romney might secure the GOP nomination without conservative support, his campaign will go down in flames without conservative grassroots boots on the ground from Labor Day to Election Day.
The only way Romney can win the hearts and minds of conservatives is to relive the past 20 years of his life. This time as a conservative.
Romney might win more favor among conservatives by simply acknowledging who and what he is: an East Coast, Blue Blood, Rockefeller Republican with severely elitist views of government’s role in people’s lives. (And by “people” I include corporations.)
Truth is, not all companies, not all business ideas, can make it on their own.
It’s easy to say that a good idea will automatically lead to a successful business. But it’s a lie.
Apple did not become Apple without investors. Sure, there are some examples of businesses that flourished without financial help. But not many. We’ll never know the wonderful ideas that died in their owner’s garage for lack of financing.
Markkula offered to guarantee a line of credit of up to $250,000 in return for being made a one-third equity participant. Apple would incorporate, and he along with Jobs and Wozniak would each own 26% of the stock. The rest would be reserved to attract future investors. The three met in the cabana by Markkula’s swimming pool and sealed the deal. “I thought it was unlikely that Mike would ever see that $250,000 again, and I was impressed that he was willing to risk it,” Jobs recalled.
Isaacson, Walter (2011-10-24). Steve Jobs (p. 77). Simon & Schuster, Inc.. Kindle Edition.
A lot of people with ideas turn to government for investments. Why a business person with an idea would go to government for funding is obvious: poor scrutiny, below market interest rates, and (seemingly) unlimited funds. Ideas requiring big investments and heavy risks tend to seek out government help. (See Aerotropolis.)
But the private sector has its own method of bringing great, but risky, ideas to market: venture capitalists and private equity.
Venture capital and private equity firms pool their money together and invest in start-ups or small businesses seeking to grow, or salvage existing companies that suffer from bad management. These firms employ experts and risk-takers who help push ideas over the top.
Most importantly, private equity firms are like Bailey’s Building & Loan—they give us an alternative to the Mr. Potter of government.
It’s absurd to criticize Bain Capital for its practice of salvaging failing businesses. It’s absurd and silly to criticize Mitt Romney for laying off people from dying companies. Even some Democrats get this:
Should bad, poorly-managed companies be allowed to destroy value? Should fast-growing, innovative businesses receive capital and support to accelerate their growth? And should hard-working pensioners and retirees be allowed to invest their savings in an asset class that outperforms nearly every other one available? Private equity has an important role and should be lauded, not lambasted. The WSJ does a nice job of making this case here.
I am a strong proponent of business considering all stakeholders, not just shareholders, as vital corporate interests. I’ve written about Creating Shared Value in the past. I believe that mass layoffs shouldn’t happen simply to boost quarterly or annual numbers.
When Bain Capital bought a business, the damage had already been done. Bain didn’t buy thriving companies and gut them; it bought failing businesses and saved them.
Sometimes layoffs are necessary to avoid outright closure. That’s why business leaders get paid big dollars—because we rely on them to save as many jobs as possible by making brilliant strategic decisions.
While I have a lot of difference with Mitt Romney and with business executives who treat employees like pawns in their personal empowerment games, I believe that Romney’s actions at Bain were necessary and compassionate, not callous and self-serving.
Were it not for private equity firms like Bain and venture capitalists in general, ideas like the Apple II would die in Steve Jobs’s garage. Entrepreneurs, inventors, and troubled companies would have nowhere to turn except government.
Newt Gingrich made a big mistake attacking Romney’s role in saving failing companies. In fact, his error was so big it might have sealed the nomination for Romney.
The middle of the road is fine until you have to get somewhere. I voted for Bob Dole in 1996. Yet his nomination drove me away from political activism for years.
I got out of the Navy in the fall of 1994. I watched the GOP reclaim the House with my nephew, Scott. I expected the Republicans to nominate a solid conservative who deliver a knock-out blow to the Clinton era two years later.
Instead, they nominated Bob Dole.
I quit. Gave up. Surrendered.
“If the Republicans want to nominated a ‘me too’ Republican,” I told friends, “there’s no point in my wasting time.”
Yeah, it was a bit petulant of me. Then, again, I’d been through a lot personally. Maybe I needed a break.
But Bob Dole?
In 1996, Bob Dole was the symbol of the GOP establishment. To Reaganites, he was a living reminder of the low-point of the Gipper’s two terms: the 1982 tax increase. As a politician, he was the worst of both worlds: an acerbic, sarcastic humor that turned off moderates and moderate deal-making politics that turned off everybody else.
I caucused, that year, for Pat Buchanan.
Buchanan had and has many flaws. But he’d have wiped up the stage with Clinton at debates. Even if he’d lost to Clinton, he’d have forced Bill to move ten steps to the right. Dole, on the other hand, brought a record that closely followed Clinton’s.
The Republican Established told us in 96 that only a moderate could win. We needed to nominate someone who could reach across the aisle and do business with the Democrats. Someone who would appeal to the Generation Xers.
So they nominated deal-maker, aisle-crosser, tax-hiker Bob Dole.
In December of 1996, Clinton was smoking cigars in the Oval Office as Bob Dole was released into the wild.
To those who remember, who were in the trenches with the Buchanan Brigades in our fight against the GOP establishment, 2012 is looking a lot like 1996.
Once again, we’re coming off historic wins in the off-year election. Once again, we’re dealing with a GOP field of candidates that lacks a viable, solid conservative. Once again, the establishment wants us to vote for the echo candidate.
In 1996, the echo was Bob “It’s My Turn” Dole. In 2012, it’s Mitt Romney.
Look, if Romney gets the nomination, I’ll vote for the guy. I’ll work to help him defeat President Obama, because I believe that Romney would be better than Obama. The Supreme Court, alone, is reason to support any Republican over just about any Democrat.
But Romney won’t stir up the passions of the Tea Party base. He’ll remind older conservatives of Bob Dole, and he’ll remind Millennials of the guy who laid off their dad.
Bob Dole, like Mitt Romney, is too close to the middle of the road.
P.S. After I wrote this post, Bob Dole endorsed Mitt Romney. Surprise!
Herman Cain is riding a wave of popularity because of his upset win in the Florida straw poll on Saturday. He’s helped by Rick Perry’s free-fall and Mitt Romney’s establishmentarianism. But Cain is a huge underdog. That’s okay because America loves an underdog.
Here’s what must happen right now for Herman Cain to win:
1. Social Media avalanche. Get @THEHermanCain trending on Twitter, and keep it there for five consecutive days. How? Simple. Use Hootsuite (or similar tool) to schedule original tweets about Herman Cain, with a shortened link to his site (http://bit.ly/r19euz) and his Twitter handle (@THEHermanCain). Send 2 original tweets per day—one in the morning, one in the evening. Post about Herman Cain, with link to his site (http://bit.ly/r19euz) on Facebook every other day (no more). (For more tips on effective social media campaigning, get my $1.99 ebook “Weaving the Roots.”)
2. Bloggers posting human stories about why Florida voters picked Cain. Real stories like this one from Byron York:
"I liked Cain, but I wasn't sure he could win," said Zena, from Washington County. "But after I heard this, I thought it doesn't matter if he wins or not -- I am for this man. He was awesome."
Or this one from the same York piece:
"I couldn't make up my mind," said Thelma, from Panama City, after the vote. "It was the speech that made the hair stand up on my arms. It wasn't a tingle down my leg -- it was an emotional excitement that this man knows how to get our country out of trouble."
3. Add a link to Herman Cain’s official website to your email signature. This is a powerful tool that everyone who sends emails can use.
4. Attend a local event. You’ll need to sign up for email blasts from the Cain campaign (http://bit.ly/r19euz) and read them. But don’t just read them. Forward important ones to 5 friends. (Only important ones. Don’t spam the undecided.)
5. Donate Money. I know conservatives and independents hate the idea of money in politics. Without money, Cain cannot compete. I’ll say it again: without millions of small donations, Herman Cain will lose. Of all five must-do actions on this list, this is the most important. Give whatever you can, then tell the world, “I just donated to Herman Cain online http://bit.ly/r19euz."
In 2008, the Republicans nominated John McCain—an echo. In 1996, Republicans nominated Bob Dole—an echo. In 1988, 2000, and 2004 Republicans nominated echoes. (Did I say “Republicans?” I meant king-makers.)
If you want to make a difference—and blow Obama out of the water in November 2012—don’t give the American voter an echo—give him a choice.
While the Republican presidential field has many good men an women in its ranks, as do many Congressional and state races across the country, most candidates are corporate-sponsored echoes of big government and crony capitalism.
Our grassroots movement has come too far to return now to business as usual.
Last night, I had the rare and wonderful honor of introducing Phyllis Schlafly at a fundraiser for Ed Martin. Mrs. Schlafly sits in the conservative pantheon with William F. Buckley, Ronald Reagan, Russell Kirk, and Barry Goldwater. Her 1964 book, A Choice Not an Echo: The inside story of how American Presidents are chosen, laid the blueprint for Ronald Reagan’s near-miss in 1976 and victory in 1980.
In 2012, the GOP can give Americans a choice, or it can destroy itself with mere echoes. At this moment in history, there is no third way.
Note: Views expressed are mine and do not reflect the official position of St. Louis Tea Party Coalition.