Boycott David Letterman's Sponsors

If you don't know why, then you're reading the wrong blog. The New Agenda is keeping tabs on sponsors of David Letterman's show.  I have already told T-Mobile that I will cancel may $120 month service (paying the penalty) if they don't stop advertising on The Late Show by July 15.

Top names on the boycott list:

  • Johnson & Johnson
  • T-Mobile
  • Ford
  • Nissan/Infiniti
  • Toyota/Lexus
  • Proctor & Gamble
  • Citigroup (which should be out of business, anyway)
  • Chase (JPMC)
  • The Gap (plus Old Navy and Banana Republic)
  • Wyeth
  • Saturn
  • Hotels.com
  • Mazda

Please check the list and avoid these companies until they leave Letterman or Letterman retires.

The Post-Palin Electoral College Map

Sarah Palin will push 9 toss-up states into McCain's camp (from left to right):

  • Nevada
  • Colorado
  • New Mexico
  • Michigan
  • New Hampshire
  • Indiana 
  • Ohio
  • Virginia
  • Florida
This will give McCain the Electoral College victory in November, 300 to 238. 
The Palin-Effect works two different ways:  Rough Rider Admiration and Strong Woman Identification.  This estimate and projection is based on analysis of detailed polling data from Gallup and Reuters.  The terms Rough Rider Admiration and Strong Woman Identification are my own. 
Rough Rider Admiration
In Nevada, Colorado, New Mexico, Michigan, Indiana, and Florida, men and women who admire rugged individualissts, the outdoors, sports, and that Ronald Reagan stump-clearing ideal will trend to Palin.  This trend will be driven by admiration more than identification.  
Strong Woman Identification
In New Hampshire, Ohio, and Virginia, identification with a strong woman will be more prevelant than the Rough Rider effect.  This move will take longer to emerge.  Visible migration in the polls won't occur until after the Vice Presidential debate in St. Louis on October 2.
Risks
The risks to these theories are, in order of likelihood:
  • Obama can neutralize the Strong Woman Identification effect by dumping Biden for Hillary Clinton.
  • McCain could subdue both effects by hiding Palin or limiting her exposure
  • A poor debate performance by Palin could neutralize her Strong Woman Identification
Since Thursday, several prominent Democrats have indicated that Obama may be considering dropping Biden from the ticket and adding Hillary Clinton as his vice presidential running mate.  Biden is a very weak VP candidate who damages Obama's campaign with idiotic speech almost every day of the week.  If offered the deal, Hillary might well declining fearing the move would doom Obama's campaign.  
Already Obama has abandoned his "campaign in every state" promise to concentrate on several key battleground states:  Ohio, Florida, Virginia, and Colorado.  That's admission that Sarah Palin has striken panic in the hearts of his campaign team.  

How True

Jay Nordlinger writes on NRO:

And, believe it or not, this advice might be worth something: I caution liberals, both in politics and in the media (same diff, right?), not to let Palin drive them nuts. A lot of conservatives — a lot of us conservatives, I might say — were driven nuts by Clinton. We were driven nuts by his enduring popularity in the face of tremendous misdeeds. And liberals will have a hard time beating McCain-Palin if Palin is making their head bang and their eyes bug.

I know that talent — especially female talent — is supposed to be Ivy- (or Ivy-ish-) educated, NPR-listening, and liberal. But sometimes it isn’t. Palin is an outright phenomenon: Deal with it.

Palin Power **Updates Galore**

Sarah Palin's Vice Presidential acceptance speech was a grand slam, walk-off homerun to the opposite field that knocked a beer out of Obama's hand after the concession stand closed. She was smooth, easy, natural, funny, smart, real, genuine, organic, and brilliant.

My favorite line:  " . . . after the fake, styrofoam Greek columns have been hauled back to the lot in Hollywood . . ."

Chris Wallace, "A star is born.  That's single, most compelling argument I've heard from the Republicans this election cycle."

Karl Rove says she might have addressed the media-family frenzy more directly, but I disagree.  Despite my pseudo-speech last night, she did the right thing by remaining above the degenerates at NYT, WaPo, and CNN.

Obama's campaign limply claims Palin's speech sounded like a Bush speech.  They really don't know what to do about Palin.  She's both less and more than the Democrat murder machine can hit.

BTW, besides Barack Obama, the other big loser tonight might have been Louisiana Governor Bobby Jindal. He had been fingered as the next Reagan.  After Palin's speech, I think Palin takes that crown.  Former Clinton communications director just gave the speech accolades:  "She put that knife in Obama's back, and she did with a smile.  In terms of her ability to make a case against Barack Obama and do it with a smile, she is very, very good."

The New Republic:  

Several moderate-Democrat friends of mine have been emailing--few if any would ever vote for McCain--but all agree that Palin was very strong. The more liberal among them are a little panicked. 

I completely misjudged how negative she would be. Her lines about Obama were brutally cutting and possibly over the top in places. 

Krauthammer:  "She used her small town background to show up Obama as an elitist out of touch."

MORE TNR:  "Who's the Celebrity Now?"

Something rather astounding is happening in this campaign. Sarah Palin may single-handedly be giving John McCain another chance at a victory which seemed a distant hope after Obama's night at Invesco (which now feels like a month ago).

 

CNN Post-Speech Coverage:  Five of 6 commentators are liberals, and it's unanimous--one of the most effective political speeches in modern times.    Wow.

InTrade Impact on Obama.  He had been well over 60%:

2008 US Election - 2008 Presidential Election Winner (Individual)
Barack Obama to win 2008 US Presidential Election
Barack Obama to win 2008 US Presidential Election
Last Price: 59.0    2.7
 
You can buy this at 59.0
 
You can sell this at 58.9
 

 

AMEN!

 

What others are saying:

Bill Hennessy, Live Blog

Michelle Malkin

California Conservative

Lorie Byrd, Wizbang

Patterico's Pontifications

Uncle Jimbo, Black Five

The New Republic (read this first!)

Karl Rove (WSJ)

RedState

Live Blogging the Palin Speech

Live blog of the most anticipated convention speech in our lifetimes. http://www.coveritlive.com/index2.php/option=com_altcaster/task=viewaltcast/altcast_code=5af59d4052/height=550/width=470

Anderson Cooper, CNN: "The excitement here is palpable." Shep Smith, Fox: "I have never been so excited about speech in my life. I can't wait." Chris Wallace, Fox: "Oh, this is big, I'm excited, and that doesn't happen at conventions very often."

I feel like I did at 4:30 p.m. on Super Bowl Sunday in 2000: one hour before the Rammies kicked off against the Titans.

The left expect her, apparently, to throw up on the podium, rip off her dress, and do a pole dance with a bear skin rug. Talk about lowering expectations.

For my part, I think she needs to stay away from direct attacks on the media. Side glances at the left in general and Barack Obama in particular.

She does not have to hit a "home run." Expectations are lower than whale waste. She has to simply be competent, human, ruggedly feminine, and likable.

My fingers are crossed.

If I Wrote Sarah Palin's Speech

Excerpt: . . .

They say I lack experience.  They're right, in a way.

I have no experience wandering a city for three years trying to find myself.  No, I've never had that luxury.  But Barack Obama has.

And I have no experience funneling money from an educational trust into organizations run by my close friend, the convicted terrorist.  No experience at all.

Nor do I have the experience of having a political career launched by a pair of terrorists who tried to blow up the Capitol and the Pentagon, who succeeded in killing a police officer.  But Barack Obama has.

And I don't have any experience legalizing the murder of children who survive abortion.  Barack Obama does, though.

I haven't had the experience of moving into a million dollar mansion bought with the help of a convicted slum-lord felon.  You'll have to ask Barack what that's like, 'cause I don't know.

While Barack was gaining all that experience, I was too busy.  I was busy raising a family of five, running a PTA, running a city, and running the largest state in the country.  While Barack was perfecting his resume, I was fighting corruption and packing lunches for the kids to take to school.

While Barack was working on an image for the media and a phony presidential seal, I was negotiating with oil companies and returning some of their abusive profits to the people of Alaska.

Now, people tell me that it's impolite -- imPOLitic -- to bring up Barack's sordid friends and unscrupulous practices.  We don't talk about these things at conventions.

But the other side, through their media outlets, changed those rules.  While the other side still believes Barack's corruption off limits, they have no problem tittering and giggling about  a 17 year old girl in a difficult situation.

While they think it improper to talk about Tony Rezko, they think it cute and funny and effective ti blame a woman for her child's illness.

While think it's a woman's duty to put away an inconvenient baby, they don't want a mother telling her children not to have sex before marriage.

While they believe in license, they have no time for consequences.

So you want to talk experience, Barack?  Go ahead.  Make my day.

John McCain has the experience of a lifetime of devotion to his country.  John McCain experienced five years of living hell in a Vietnamese prison camp with broken arms, broken legs, broken ribs, broken teeth, diarrhea, infection, bug sandwiches, boils, and boiling heat.

John McCain has the experience of saying "no" to get out of jail cards because the price was too high:  the price was honor.

John McCain has the experience of leading men in battle and through prison, teaching them courage, honor, duty, and country.

John McCain has the experience of living the resume of a great president and leader, not of simply writing one.

John McCain's experience couldn't fit on Barack Obama's teleprompter.

And on November 4, John McCain and I will have the experience of sending Barack Obama back to rouse the rabble in the streets of South Chicago where he belongs.

Palin's Eldest Daughter Pregnant, To Marry Baby's Father

Technorati Tags: ,

Sarah Palin's eldest daughter, Bristol, is pregnant and will marry Levi, the child's father, Todd and Sarah said today in a press release [FoxNews.com].

The 17-year-old unwed daughter of John McCain’s new running mate, Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, is five-months pregnant, Palin and her husband, Todd Palin, said Monday in a written statement.

McCain’s campaign told FOX News that the presumptive Republican presidential candidate knew about Bristol Palin’s pregnancy before he chose Palin as his running mate last Friday, and that Bristol is planning to marry the father of her child.

The Palins felt compelled to release the information to dispel idiotic left-wing reports that Palin faked her own pregnancy to cover the pregnancy of Bristol.

The left will have a field day with this, mostly because liberals consider the voluntary murder of children through abortion every woman's responsibility.  By marrying the father and raising her baby, Bristol Palin will demonstrate everything liberals hate.

Momentum Impact

This news should not slow the momentum McCain has picked up since announcing Palin as his choice for Vice President.  It highlights the evil hatred of liberals who forced a private family matter onto the front page by creating unfounded rumors and treating them as fact.

While the publicity of the situation will put strains on the Palin family, it has nothing to do with Sarah Palin's fitness for office.  Moreover, by marrying and raising the child, Bristol exemplifies the pro-life stance her mother has held throughout her public life.

UPDATE:  Allahpundit has more.

Palin The Star At Missouri McCain Rally

Every mention of Sarah Palin produced a banner-waving roar from the crowd of over 20,000 in T. R. Hughes Stadium in O'Fallon, Missouri, on blistering hot Sunday afternoon.  While McCain is on top of the ticket, Palin is the draw. StraightTalkExpressA woman from Dent County--about 3 hours from O'Fallon--made the drive to see McCain and Palin in person.  She was thrilled to get hold of a "McCain-Palin" banner after several stacks of the banners didn't make it to her.  "I work at the Republican Headquarters in Dent county," she told me.  "I guess I can get one there if I don't get one here."

The crowd was raucous at first, but the 90+ degree temperatures combined with high humidity and a 4 hour wait left many of the partisans fatigued by the time McCain, Palin, Mitt Romney, and Mike Huckabee arrived.  Nonetheless, the delegation received a wild, celebratory reception when the Straight Talk Express pulled into the ball park.

Before McCain arrived, Bill Reich, a fellow POW at the Hanoi Hilton and now a resident of the St. Louis area, told the crowd why he's voting for John McCain.

"I was a newbie, arriving after 1970," the giant of a man told the crowd.  "John had been there for five years already.  I was taken into an interrogation room, which wasn't really an interrogation.  This just after a large number of POWs had been released.  'Wouldn't you like to follow them?' they asked me.  'All you need is the right attitude about this and you can go home with them.'"

Reich paused and cleared his throat.  Speaking in trembling voice, wiping a tear from his heroic cheek, he continued, "I feel ashamed to stand here and admit to you how inviting that offer sounded.  But I said, 'No.'"

Continuing the story, "They made John McCain the same offer.  I had been there only six months, and I can't tell you how hard it was for me to turn them McCain1down.  John had been for five years and conditions got a lot better before I arrived than they were most of the time John and the others had been there.  John did the right thing.  When the time came, he made it.  And he taught us newbies about courage and honor."

A large delegation of Chicago Area Democrats for McCain received proud ovations from the crowd.  Seated directly behind the main stage the Chicago Dems were louder, prouder, and more animated their Republican brethren.  They were joined by a former Hillary supporter and life-long Democrat activist from the St. Charles, Missouri, area, who is voting for McCain because of his heroic principles and service to the country.  His selection of Palin for Veep didn't hurt, either, she told us.

Mike Huckabee's short speech was powerful.  I have never seen a man connect so perfectly and immediately with a crowd.  He was magic.  Despite my massive opposition to many of his views, I see why he experienced that surge in the early primaries.   Combine Huckabee's charisma with Thompson's positions and you'd have something more powerful than Reagan.

McCain emphasized Gustav preparedness. He announced that the RNC convention would conduct required party business, but all of the pomp and celebration was canceled.  Instead, he will marshal the delegates' energies to help the victims of the storm.  John McCain really means it when he says "Country First."  Refreshing.

The highlight, of course, and longest speech of the day was Governor Sarah Palin.  The hot, tired crowd returned to full-throated life when McCain introduced his running mate.

Palin also concentrated on the need for relief efforts over politics, but she reminded the crowd that Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and Texas all have powerful, brilliant Republican governors this time around.  Preparations in Louisiana, thanks to Bobby Jindal and President Bush are miles ahead of Katrina preps.  And just as Haley Barbour's Mississippi handled Katrina more deftly than Louisiana, the Republican governors will overcome whatever Gustav throws their way.  We the people won't have it any other way.

I hope anyone who was at the rally will leave their impressions in the comments.    Here's a short, crappy clip of Palin.

video0061

STLToday.com Story

*UPDATE*  More bloggers blogging this event:  Gateway Pundit with media links; Bob McCarty with photos and more.  Politico's Jonathan Martin (h/t Gateway Pundit) says this was McCain's largest crowd of the campaign:

As one veteran of Missouri politics said, that's the sort of crowd usually seen in October for a president — not in August for a candidate.

It's also a record-best for McCain.

Yes, yes, it's just about a routine crowd for Obama. But there is perhaps no better indicator of how Palin is helping McCain close the enthusiasm gap than the number of people showing up the past two days in Pennsylvania and Missouri.

Technorati Tags: ,

McCain - Palin Rally in O'Fallon, Missouri, Is Still On

We're getting ready to head out to the McCain Rally in O'Fallon, Missouri.  I just checked with the campaign and the rally is still on.  John McCain is stopping in New Orleans to check on hurricane preparations before the rally, so I wouldn't be surprised if it starts late. I'll have photos and a report on the events this evening.

Technorati Tags: ,

Palin Pick Energizing the Right **Update**

Conservative spirits soared like roman candles three times in my life:

  • Ronald Reagan's emergence in 1980
  • Newt Gingrich's Contract with America in 1994
  • Sarah Palin's selection as McCain's vice president in 2008

Besides the math (each event exactly 14 years apart), Palin's selection could change the face of politics in America for a long time.

Yesterday, I hurriedly outlined some of the instant wins from McCain's brilliant move.  With 24 hours of reflection, this game-changing decision produces even more positives.

30palin3.large

Changing the 2008 Election

For this year's election, adding Palin was like the Colorado Avalanche adding Ray Bourque in 2001.  With this move, McCain scored a hat-trick of priceless political goals:

  • Solidified all aspects of the right: evangelicals, 10th Amendment philosophers, family-first pragmatists, 2nd Amendment patriots, economic conservatives
  • Opened the wallets of Americans who had been hedging their bets
  • Wiped the DNC Convention off of the news instantly and forever

Such an inspired political move deserves praise and academic celebration.  This one will be examined in college political science studies for decades.

Wowing the Press

This move said you don't have to be anti-American to be young, energetic, intelligent, and political.  Since the fall of 2007, the media have been telling young people and political neophytes respond only to young, ultra-liberal, America bashing rabble rousers.

Palin is Reagan conservative who pulls the young because she exudes youthfulness, energy, and independence.  Like Reagan, she bucks the Republican party's idiotic tendency to crawl back to its Eastern Seaboard Country Club past.  She's not a Rockefeller, thank God:  she's one of us.

I've been watching conventions and their aftermath since the 1976 election cycle.  I figured out some time ago that it's not what the party or candidate says at the convention, it's what the media say about them that causes bounces.  Even though Obama's speech was one of the worst in history, the media--almost all Obama donors--fawned over the speech as the new Gettysburg Address.

Palin made those reporters drop their Obama stories and start digging on her.  What they found shocked them.  Even the New York Times online front page is wholly positive:

  • Choice of Palin Bold Move with Risks [link]
  • Palin, an Outsider who Charms [link]
  • Defining Sarah Palin [link]

The entire page above the fold is devoid of Obama's name, probably for the first time in a year.

Defining the Future

McCain may have permanently altered the course of the conservative movement in America, the way Ronald Reagan's speech at the 1976 RNC convention did.  Palin, known only to conservative wonks and Alaskans before Friday, jumped to mega-star status by Friday night.  Her actions are quickly becoming legendary, particularly among women.

  • She stayed on the dais to participate in an energy meeting for 30 minutes after he water broke in April 2008
  • She won the state high school basketball championship playing point guard with a broken ankle
  • She is an expert rifle shot and hunter
  • She defeated an incumbent Republican governor
  • She told Congress to get lost when it tried stick a bridge to nowhere in her state
  • She manhandled oil executives
  • She went to Iraq when it wasn't safe to visit her Guardsmen, not to politic

Avoiding major errors, Palin has skyrocketed ahead of Bobby Jindal of Louisiana as the Next Big Thing from the right.  Even if McCain loses (which is increasing unlikely), Palin is here to stay unless she stumbles badly.

My guess is that she'll wipe the floor with Biden, if Biden even debates her.  Her quick, sharp jabs will wear him down while he tries desperately to land a knock-out blow.  The Barracuda, though, is young and energetic.  Biden could be her lunch.

Conclusion

Taking well-calculated risk, McCain has changed the course of politics in America for at least 14 years.

**Update**

Ed Morrissey finds a Democrat who agrees that the Palin selection is massive strategic windfall for McCain.

Did McCain set Obama up to fall into this trap?  If so, then perhaps that more than anything demonstrates how poor a candidate Obama is and how much more masterful McCain can be.  Would you rather have the man who set the trap dealing with our enemies abroad, or the man who fell into it?