It Must Suck to be an Incumbent

Whether you’re the party darling or the federal office holder, 2010 is shaping up to be your  last year in politics. In Kentucky, Tea Party Republican, Rand Paul, opened a can of whoop-ass on Republican party favorite, Trey Grayson. No single race proves the strength or impact of the Tea Party, but races like Paul’s demonstrate that the right candidate with the right campaign team with the strong backing of the Tea Party and 9-12 Project can blow away the party candidate. Don’t read anymore into it.

And don’t read too much into the PA12 race to fill Jack Murtha’s seat. This race involved a single district in Pennsylvania where Democrats outnumber Republicans two to one.  Tim Burns's opponent ran to the right of Ronald Reagan:  pro-life, pro-gun, anti-ObamaCare, and anti-Cap and Trade.  Critz also was credited with being shovel man in Murtha's pork-barrel filling operation.

Additionally, thanks to traditional Republican circular firing squads, there were approximately 16,000 under votes in the special election.  Yesterday, Burn was not only the GOP candidate in the special election, but he was on the Primary ballot against establishment Republican, Bill Russell, for this November’s general.  It seems Russell’s supporters were encouraged not to vote in the special election. It's difficult for a Republican to beat both a Republican and a Democrat.

Russell's strategy backfired.  He's losing the primary race to Burns.  But he did succeed in ensuring Burns will face an incumbent Democrat.  Way to go, Einstein.

Across PA, RINO-cum-Democrat, Arlen Specter lost soundly to Any Democrat.  In this case, Any Democrat was played by Congressman Jay Sestak.  (Pronounced: who cares?) This commercial explains why cynicism, even naked cynicism, won’t cell in 2010:

[youtube=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x97DdZho11k&w=425&h=355]

In Arkansas, it appears Blanche Lincoln’s career will be decided by a  run-off in June.

So what does it all mean?

1. Incumbents and party favors are out

2. Money can still buy votes

3. Republicans are still the only people who can beat Republicans—and they do it very well.

4. Pat Toomey (PA) and Rand Paul (KY) will be freshman Senators together next January.

Poll: Tim Burns Can Take Murtha’s Seat

The final poll before Tuesday’s special election to fill Jack Murtha’s unexpired seat in the U.S. House shows that Republican Tim Burns is neck and neck with Democrat and pork barrel specialist Mark Critz. (Yes, Critz’s campaign is funded by lobbyists and special interests.)

tparty4

PPP has it 48 to 47 Burns.

That means GOTV will determine the winner.

If you want to make a difference, here’s the four step plan:

  • Got friends in PA12?  Call them.  Ask them if they intend to vote for Tim Burns on Tuesday*
  • Email friends who live anywhere in western PA, eastern Ohio, or West Virginia asking them to contact their PA12 friends
  • Use twitter, facebook, or any other social networking channels to spread the word
  • Join the nationwide Virtual Phone Bank
  • Pray. For the next two days, let's set aside One Minute of Prayer at 3:00 p.m. local time. I've added a One Minute of Prayer event to our Conservative Calendar.
    (And on Wednesday, we’ll take a moment to thank God for the election, no matter the results. )
    This is a great chance to make a difference and set the tone for 2010.

* Just asking someone if they intend to vote increases the chance that they will vote by 40 percent, according to researcher Dr. Robert Cialdini.

Time is Running Out

Money Bomb for Tim Burns ends at 11:00 p.m. Central tonight! 

jtowntea[1] If you want the satisfaction of replacing pork-barreler and Marine-basher, John Murtha, with fiscal conservative Tim Burns, then contributing to the money bomb will help.

If you have friends or family in Pennsylvania's 12th Congressional district, you might want to give them a call this weekend and ask them if they plan to vote in Tuesday’s election. (People who are asked if they intend to vote are 40 percent more likely to vote than those who are not asked (Cialdini).) Make sure they’ve looked at where Tim Burns stands on the issues.

Remember, this important election to fill Murtha’s seat is Tuesday, May 18.